Women's NCAA Basketball

Generated at Wed Apr 10 18:47:54 EDT 2013.

Rater: mit.sjens.rating.TestParameterizedRater
Home-field advantage: 2.9
Win bonus: 0.6
Point limit: 30.0
Expected result multiplier: 0.4
Persistence: 0.99
Probability factor: 18.3
Tolerance: 0.001

Rank	Team	%age	Record	Rating
1	Connecticut	0.897	35-4	73.49
2	Baylor	0.944	34-2	71.93
3	Notre Dame	0.946	35-2	70.21
4	Duke	0.917	33-3	66.97
5	Stanford	0.917	33-3	66.10
6	Maryland	0.765	26-8	64.85
7	Kentucky	0.833	30-6	64.23
8	Penn St.	0.813	26-6	63.99
9	Tennessee	0.771	27-8	63.53
10	Texas A&M	0.714	25-10	63.03
11	Louisville	0.763	29-9	62.70
12	California	0.889	32-4	62.41
13	Oklahoma St.	0.667	22-11	62.10
14	Iowa St.	0.727	24-9	61.98
15	Nebraska	0.735	25-9	61.92
16	Delaware	0.889	32-4	61.47
17	Syracuse	0.750	24-8	61.25
18	Georgia	0.800	28-7	61.11
19	Green Bay	0.906	29-3	61.10
20	North Carolina	0.806	29-7	60.90
21	Michigan St.	0.735	25-9	60.43
22	Florida St.	0.697	23-10	60.13
23	South Florida	0.667	22-11	60.08
24	South Carolina	0.758	25-8	60.07
25	Purdue	0.735	25-9	60.03
26	UCLA	0.765	26-8	59.95
27	Dayton	0.903	28-3	59.95
28	Gonzaga	0.818	27-6	59.92
29	Vanderbilt	0.636	21-12	59.89
30	Villanova	0.656	21-11	59.68
31	Oklahoma	0.686	24-11	59.43
32	LSU	0.647	22-12	59.39
33	Iowa	0.618	21-13	59.24
34	Texas Tech	0.656	21-11	59.21
35	St. John's	0.581	18-13	59.14
36	Princeton	0.759	22-7	58.96
37	West Virginia	0.548	17-14	58.66
38	Ohio St.	0.581	18-13	58.60
39	Colorado	0.781	25-7	58.47
40	San Diego St.	0.818	27-6	58.44
41	Kansas	0.588	20-14	58.24
42	Miami (FL)	0.656	21-11	58.18
43	Toledo	0.875	28-4	58.18
44	St. Joseph's	0.719	23-9	57.80
45	Michigan	0.667	22-11	57.64
46	Illinois	0.581	18-13	57.56
47	Cent. Michigan	0.636	21-12	57.55
48	Marist	0.788	26-7	57.37
49	DePaul	0.636	21-12	57.30
50	Creighton	0.758	25-8	56.98
51	Rutgers	0.533	16-14	56.97
52	Duquesne	0.774	24-7	56.75
53	Arkansas	0.625	20-12	56.68
54	Florida	0.571	20-15	56.65
55	Albany	0.871	27-4	56.55
56	N.C. State	0.515	17-16	56.36
57	James Madison	0.706	24-10	56.26
58	Charlotte	0.806	25-6	56.09
59	Drexel	0.722	26-10	56.06
60	Quinnipiac	0.909	30-3	55.96
61	Auburn	0.563	18-14	55.90
62	Chattanooga	0.879	29-4	55.90
63	Hampton	0.824	28-6	55.86
64	Minnesota	0.563	18-14	55.69
65	Texas	0.400	12-18	55.59
66	San Diego	0.710	22-9	55.58
67	Middle Tenn. St.	0.758	25-8	55.44
68	Wisconsin	0.387	12-19	55.39
69	Kansas St.	0.486	17-18	55.38
70	Georgia Tech	0.467	14-16	55.28
71	Utah	0.600	21-14	55.25
72	Virginia	0.533	16-14	55.03
73	Marquette	0.500	16-16	55.02
74	Illinois St.	0.706	24-10	55.00
75	Fla Gulf Coast	0.794	27-7	54.96
76	Boston U.	0.828	24-5	54.82
77	Pacific	0.765	26-8	54.80
78	BYU	0.667	22-11	54.77
79	AR Little Rock	0.727	24-9	54.65
80	Wichita St.	0.706	24-10	54.58
81	Cal Poly	0.656	21-11	54.55
82	Missouri	0.531	17-15	54.27
83	Liberty	0.794	27-7	54.10
84	Northwestern	0.433	13-17	54.08
85	Montana	0.750	24-8	54.03
86	Washington	0.656	21-11	53.82
87	St. Mary's	0.688	22-10	53.74
88	Fordham	0.735	25-9	53.67
89	S. Dakota St.	0.758	25-8	53.62
90	Boston Coll.	0.387	12-19	53.53
91	Fresno St.	0.727	24-9	53.41
92	Wake Forest	0.406	13-19	53.38
93	Wyoming	0.750	24-8	53.26
94	USC	0.355	11-20	53.18
95	Bowling Green	0.676	23-11	53.09
96	Georgetown	0.484	15-16	53.07
97	Northern Iowa	0.515	17-16	52.91
98	TCU	0.300	9-21	52.84
99	Tenn-Martin	0.559	19-15	52.74
100	SMU	0.677	21-10	52.58
101	Oral Roberts	0.581	18-13	52.57
102	Arizona St.	0.419	13-18	52.32
103	East Carolina	0.688	22-10	52.29
104	Virginia Tech	0.333	10-20	52.29
105	Washington St.	0.355	11-20	52.14
106	Davidson	0.647	22-12	52.13
107	UTEP	0.688	22-10	52.05
108	Navy	0.636	21-12	51.95
109	Harvard	0.724	21-8	51.93
110	Richmond	0.500	16-16	51.85
111	Tulane	0.719	23-9	51.81
112	Idaho St.	0.581	18-13	51.77
113	Youngstown St.	0.719	23-9	51.72
114	Akron	0.697	23-10	51.71
115	Bradley	0.467	14-16	51.69
116	Oregon St.	0.323	10-21	51.68
117	Tulsa	0.500	17-17	51.58
118	Old Dominion	0.613	19-12	51.55
119	Hartford	0.636	21-12	51.54
120	Stetson	0.727	24-9	51.49
121	Northeastern	0.567	17-13	51.33
122	Loyola Marymount	0.419	13-18	51.27
123	Detroit	0.567	17-13	51.14
124	Eastern Wash.	0.594	19-13	51.14
125	UCF	0.471	16-18	51.12
126	Indiana St.	0.581	18-13	51.09
127	Appalachian St.	0.645	20-11	51.00
128	Florida Intl.	0.594	19-13	50.97
129	Cincinnati	0.400	12-18	50.96
130	Eastern Illinois	0.645	20-11	50.95
131	Howard	0.645	20-11	50.86
132	Northern Colorado	0.636	21-12	50.84
133	Temple	0.438	14-18	50.75
134	UAB	0.581	18-13	50.66
135	Miami (OH)	0.594	19-13	50.63
136	Ball St.	0.500	16-16	50.55
137	McNeese St.	0.563	18-14	50.55
138	Hawaii	0.548	17-14	50.53
139	UCSB	0.485	16-17	50.50
140	Winthrop	0.656	21-11	50.50
141	Arizona	0.400	12-18	50.47
142	Geo. Washington	0.467	14-16	50.35
143	Hofstra	0.452	14-17	50.34
144	Loyola Chicago	0.531	17-15	50.27
145	Seton Hall	0.355	11-20	50.24
146	Sacred Heart	0.667	22-11	50.21
147	Mississippi St.	0.433	13-17	50.12
148	Iona	0.606	20-13	50.06
149	N.C. A&T	0.688	22-10	50.01
150	Army	0.710	22-9	49.96
151	Butler	0.548	17-14	49.96
152	Arkansas St.	0.500	15-15	49.92
153	Sacramento St.	0.613	19-12	49.87
154	Indiana	0.367	11-19	49.83
155	Alabama	0.419	13-18	49.79
156	CSU Northridge	0.500	16-16	49.79
157	Seattle	0.645	20-11	49.73
158	W. Kentucky	0.688	22-10	49.60
159	South Dakota	0.531	17-15	49.57
160	Clemson	0.300	9-21	49.49
161	Long Beach St.	0.500	16-16	49.45
162	Memphis	0.531	17-15	49.45
163	Xavier	0.448	13-16	49.42
164	Utah St.	0.581	18-13	49.40
165	Tennessee Tech	0.613	19-12	49.21
166	Portland	0.355	11-20	49.18
167	Idaho	0.515	17-16	49.15
168	Elon	0.581	18-13	49.08
169	Pennsylvania	0.571	16-12	49.05
170	Lamar	0.677	21-10	48.97
171	Belmont	0.581	18-13	48.90
172	Rice	0.467	14-16	48.82
173	Drake	0.355	11-20	48.70
174	Sam Houston St.	0.545	18-15	48.61
175	Saint Louis	0.387	12-19	48.53
176	Montana St.	0.567	17-13	48.51
177	St. Bonaventure	0.345	10-19	48.51
178	Missouri St.	0.452	14-17	48.43
179	IUPUI	0.625	20-12	48.37
180	S. Carolina St.	0.690	20-9	48.30
181	Southern Utah	0.484	15-16	48.24
182	Houston	0.433	13-17	48.24
183	New Mexico	0.548	17-14	48.23
184	Pittsburgh	0.300	9-21	48.22
185	American	0.517	15-14	48.21
186	Mississippi	0.310	9-20	48.17
187	Santa Clara	0.467	14-16	48.10
188	San Francisco	0.387	12-19	48.08
189	Charleston	0.500	15-15	48.05
190	High Point	0.567	17-13	48.01
191	Valparaiso	0.355	11-20	47.91
192	Evansville	0.300	9-21	47.79
193	UC Davis	0.400	12-18	47.79
194	VCU	0.367	11-19	47.78
195	Cleveland St.	0.433	13-17	47.78
196	Yale	0.464	13-15	47.74
197	Providence	0.233	7-23	47.71
198	Georgia St.	0.448	13-16	47.62
199	Southern Miss	0.484	15-16	47.58
200	South Alabama	0.567	17-13	47.49
201	Lehigh	0.467	14-16	47.47
202	Holy Cross	0.563	18-14	47.38
203	Louisiana Tech	0.452	14-17	47.35
204	Buffalo	0.375	12-20	47.32
205	Nicholls	0.633	19-11	47.11
206	North Dakota	0.379	11-18	47.08
207	North Texas	0.367	11-19	47.07
208	Campbell	0.645	20-11	47.06
209	Eastern Kentucky	0.621	18-11	47.06
210	Nebraska Omaha	0.607	17-11	47.02
211	Prairie View A&M	0.531	17-15	47.00
212	Stephen F. Austin	0.452	14-17	46.97
213	Tennessee St.	0.464	13-15	46.92
214	St. Francis (PA)	0.531	17-15	46.86
215	Rider	0.500	15-15	46.80
216	Florida Atlantic	0.414	12-17	46.79
217	Central Conn. St.	0.533	16-14	46.74
218	Texas Southern	0.625	20-12	46.72
219	SIU Edwardsville	0.516	16-15	46.70
220	Bucknell	0.484	15-16	46.64
221	CSU Fullerton	0.333	11-22	46.60
222	UTSA	0.533	16-14	46.56
223	Western Ill.	0.467	14-16	46.47
224	North. Kentucky	0.556	15-12	46.44
225	Coppin St.	0.500	16-16	46.43
226	Denver	0.452	14-17	46.41
227	Colorado St.	0.367	11-19	46.40
228	La Salle	0.276	8-21	46.36
229	Murray St.	0.552	16-13	46.29
230	Presbyterian	0.633	19-11	46.22
231	Radford	0.533	16-14	46.17
232	Oregon	0.129	4-27	46.17
233	Fairfield	0.567	17-13	46.14
234	LA Monroe	0.323	10-21	46.07
235	Samford	0.484	15-16	46.03
236	Northern Illinois	0.233	7-23	45.90
237	Monmouth	0.500	15-15	45.89
238	Towson	0.400	12-18	45.85
239	Central Arkansas	0.500	15-15	45.77
240	UC Irvine	0.300	9-21	45.74
241	William & Mary	0.267	8-22	45.72
242	Marshall	0.300	9-21	45.70
243	UC Riverside	0.379	11-18	45.64
244	Mount St. Mary's	0.484	15-16	45.63
245	Wright St.	0.400	12-18	45.63
246	New Hampshire	0.400	12-18	45.51
247	Lafayette	0.367	11-19	45.47
248	UNLV	0.387	12-19	45.47
249	Bryant	0.400	12-18	45.43
250	Mercer	0.645	20-11	45.39
251	East. Michigan	0.267	8-22	45.36
252	N. Mexico St.	0.484	15-16	45.35
253	W. Michigan	0.355	11-20	45.33
254	Loyola (MD)	0.400	12-18	45.32
255	Siena	0.419	0.345	10-19	43.25
285	San Jose St.	0.367	11-19	43.13
286	Massachusetts	0.103	3-26	43.12
287	Dartmouth	0.214	6-22	43.10
288	Southern Ill.	0.161	5-26	43.07
289	Brown	0.321	9-19	42.92
290	Utah Valley	0.500	15-15	42.88
291	Oakland	0.310	9-20	42.76
292	Furman	0.400	12-18	42.67
293	LIU Brooklyn	0.241	7-22	42.46
294	Southern	0.433	13-17	42.45
295	Alabama A&M	0.310	9-20	42.27
296	Fair. Dickinson	0.414	12-17	42.18
297	Manhattan	0.258	8-23	42.16
298	Rhode Island	0.207	6-23	42.10
299	E. Tennessee St.	0.308	8-18	42.00
300	SE Louisiana	0.379	11-18	41.88
301	North Florida	0.387	12-19	41.81
302	Jackson St.	0.429	12-16	41.79
303	S.Car. Upstate	0.400	12-18	41.76
304	Georgia Southern	0.258	8-23	41.74
305	UMBC	0.333	10-20	41.65
306	Austin Peay	0.250	7-21	41.63
307	Binghamton	0.200	6-24	41.60
308	Delaware St.	0.323	10-21	41.54
309	Vermont	0.323	10-21	41.47
310	Mo. Kansas City	0.300	9-21	41.47
311	Wofford	0.276	8-21	41.40
312	Florida A&M	0.367	11-19	41.39
313	Jacksonville	0.367	11-19	41.37
314	AR Pine Bluff	0.419	13-18	41.37
315	Morehead St.	0.300	9-21	41.11
316	TX Pan American	0.429	12-16	41.10
317	Norfolk St.	0.241	7-22	41.09
318	Grambling St.	0.281	9-23	40.93
319	TX Arlington	0.233	7-23	40.78
320	N.C. Greensboro	0.258	8-23	40.53
321	Coastal Carolina	0.448	13-16	40.46
322	Columbia	0.179	5-23	40.45
323	Bethune-Cookman	0.414	12-17	40.39
324	Maine	0.143	4-24	40.36
325	Ohio	0.207	6-23	40.21
326	Western Carolina	0.233	7-23	40.21
327	TAMU Corpus Christi	0.138	4-25	40.00
328	Charleston Sou.	0.286	8-20	39.94
329	Air Force	0.133	4-26	39.85
330	MD Eastern Shore	0.286	8-20	39.73
331	Kennesaw St.	0.226	7-24	39.37
332	Alabama St.	0.300	9-21	38.97
333	Savannah St.	0.233	7-23	38.83
334	Alcorn St.	0.071	2-26	38.46
335	St. Peter's	0.067	2-28	38.23
336	Weber St.	0.000	0-29	37.75
337	Kent St.	0.100	3-27	37.67
338	Jacksonville St.	0.036	1-27	37.35
339	Wagner	0.103	3-26	36.73
340	Houston Baptist	0.226	7-24	36.55
341	N.C. Central	0.067	2-28	35.97
342	Lipscomb	0.103	3-26	35.97
343	N.C. Asheville	0.067	2-28	35.60
344	New Orleans	0.115	3-23	33.64
345	Chicago St.	0.133	4-26	32.98

Thanks to Kryogenix for the table-sorting JavaScript.

steven@stevenjens.com | Steven's home page

ank">319TX Arlington 0.2337-2340.78 320N.C. Greensboro 0.2588-2340.53 321Coastal Carolina 0.44813-1640.46 322Columbia 0.1795-2340.45 323Bethune-Cookman 0.41412-1740.39 324Maine 0.1434-2440.36 325Ohio 0.2076-2340.21 326Western Carolina 0.2337-2340.21 327TAMU Corpus Christi 0.1384-2540.00 328Charleston Sou. 0.2868-2039.94 329Air Force 0.1334-2639.85 330MD Eastern Shore 0.2868-2039.73 331Kennesaw St. 0.2267-2439.37 332Alabama St. 0.3009-2138.97 333Savannah St. 0.2337-2338.83 334Alcorn St. 0.0712-2638.46 335St. Peter's 0.0672-2838.23 336Weber St. 0.0000-2937.75 337Kent St. 0.1003-2737.67 338Jacksonville St. 0.0361-2737.35 339Wagner 0.1033-2636.73 340Houston Baptist 0.2267-2436.55 341N.C. Central 0.0672-2835.97 342Lipscomb 0.1033-2635.97 343N.C. Asheville 0.0672-2835.60 344New Orleans 0.1153-2333.64 345Chicago St. 0.1334-2632.98

Thanks to Kryogenix for the table-sorting JavaScript.

steven@stevenjens.com | Steven's home page